Donald Trump has become the first president in history to be indicted under criminal charges. How does this affect the 2024 presidential election?

News just broke that the Manhattan grand jury has voted to indict Trump for issuing hush money payments to Stormy Daniels. How will this affect the GOP nomination and more importantly, the 2024 election? Will this help or hurt the former president?

They’ll cave. Trumps loyal base may be 30% of GOP voters (rather than the population), but they’re the once who turn out for primaries and elections like clockwork. The GOP can’t win without them so they can’t risk alienating them.

I think the knee-jerk reaction is this will help him in the primary - at the very least providing a huge fundraising boost, but it’s hard to imagine this isn’t a massive blow to his chances with non-MAGA independents he needs to win the general.

They’ll cave. Trumps loyal base may be 30% of GOP voters (rather than the population), but they’re the once who turn out for primaries and elections like clockwork. The GOP can’t win without them so they can’t risk alienating them.

I think the knee-jerk reaction is this will help him in the primary - at the very least providing a huge fundraising boost, but it’s hard to imagine this isn’t a massive blow to his chances with non-MAGA independents he needs to win the general.

There are a lot of GOP voters who could be convinced the Democratic nominee was a communist and vote against them even if the nominee was Ronald Reagan’s clone. They’re in the tank for ANY GOP nominee, not necessarily Trump. Add the 2 groups together and you’re probably at 30%+.

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I think the knee-jerk reaction is this will help him in the primary - at the very least providing a huge fundraising boost, but it’s hard to imagine this isn’t a massive blow to his chances with non-MAGA independents he needs to win the general.

You mean to say that people who stand for their conservative values want a nominee who will actually win?

That doesn’t seem to be what they’re saying. They’re saying that even if the Democratic candidate were a better champion of conservative values, that many people would vote for the Republican candidate anyway.

Bro just described how government works

Usally if a person does communist things then I think they are a communist. However, democrats are communist and don’t even try to hide it, hence, they indentify as “Democratic Socialists”.

A Socialist is a communist and therefore if you for Democrat then you ARE voting for communists. BTW the group that supports Trump was about 51% but now since the misuse of power by fascist democrats Trump support is over 55% and growing

I mean, maybe 30% of the overall population isn’t in the tank for Trump forever and ever, but I think that’s a good estimate for the share of voters who overall approve of him and would never support Democrats.

It’s worth noting the Republican candidates in Congress often poll better than Trump on election day; remember that in the 2020 election Georgia Senate candidate Purdue actually won a plurality of the vote while Trump lost, he only lost his Senate seat because of the run-off (well, assuming plurality wins are normal anyway). The 2022 Senate candidates that trended more moderate/non-Trumpy tended to do well in swing states (Almost every single statewide race in Georgia was won by a Republican with a majority of the vote) while the Trumpers did less well and often lost (like the Republican candidate for the Georgian senate seat, who failed to get a plurality and then lost the run off).

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Only 25% of the population is registered Republicans

Total population doesn’t really matter. Not all of the population can/will vote.

Only 25% of the population is registered Republicans

He won’t win. No longer electable. So let them waste their votes. The Democratic candidate will ultimately benefit from Repubs voting for their Loser, soon to be convicted felon DJtrump

I think the knee-jerk reaction is this will help him in the primary - at the very least providing a huge fundraising boost, but it’s hard to imagine this isn’t a massive blow to his chances with non-MAGA independents he needs to win the general.

Man I feel like 2016 could be repeating again of people repeating that Trump is “unelectable”. He will gladly bring out country to new lows and I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up being the guy with the R next to his name in the general, if people wind up not caring.

Debate policy at this point and genuinely put out reasons and examples as to why Biden and the democrats as a whole have been making your life better. Combat back that Trump/whoever has nothing better to offer in return.

People will think statements to not vote for Trump because he’s “unelectable” are stupid. They’ll obviously see that he’s available to select on the ballot, and do exactly that to spite you.

I think the knee-jerk reaction is this will help him in the primary - at the very least providing a huge fundraising boost, but it’s hard to imagine this isn’t a massive blow to his chances with non-MAGA independents he needs to win the general.